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,The Trust has a relatively low risk profile, in my opinion, due to its very low operating leverage, minimal drilling execution risks, no debt, low G expenses and subordination/hedge protection in the near term.Given the Trust’s historical trading patterns, it appears that investors in the past were willing to accept a rate of return lower than 10%.Assuming the market is willing to accept a 7-9% discount rate for the risk that the Trust’s distributions represent, the units would have intrinsic value of $5.87-6.45 per unit.The 7-9% IRR range corresponds to the value range of $6.84-7.55 per unit, which equates to an 8-17% downside to the current price.(click to enlarge)(Source: Zeits Energy Analytics, February 2015)$110 Per Barrel WTI and $4.50 Per MMBtu Henry Hub Price ScenarioThis commodity price scenario envisions a strong and relatively quick improvement in both oil and natural gas prices.
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,You just finish a heart-pumping, hour-long workout.You take a quick shower and then pass the gym’s caf茅 on the way out.Watch out for those healthy-looking snacks.One smoothie or even a sports drink can replace all the calories you just burned, and then some.”It’s important to realize that just because you worked out doesn’t give you free rein in the kitchen,” says Bell-Wilson.”The reward is that you went and you did it.” If you exercise for an hour or less, your best bet is to grab a bottle of water and eat at your next scheduled meal.The safety of personnel and their families should be the first priority of any disaster recovery plan.
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,By the way, Abbott will probably incur considerable “one-time” charges between now and the split-up date, and after the split-up, it is likely that former cost-saving synergies will be destroyed as each new company wants to go its own way.In any event, I presently do not consider Abbott a candidate for further purchase, and I doubt it will show up on 2012’s Top 40 list.Its dividend increase was 6.3% in April-not down to the 2%-3% level, but not up to the steady 9%-10% gains that had preceded it for several years.I consider the split to be easily the most important investment issue concerning Abbott, but I have read several articles and professional analyses since last October in which the split is not even mentioned.
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,Here’s why.When you were a kid, you may have performed the trick where you lit paper on fire using the sun and a magnifying glass.The light of the sun is so strong that, if you concentrate it with a lens, you can actually start a fire.颅In your eye, you have a lens.If you stare at the sun, this lens concentrates a spot of sunlight on your retina, and it burns it too.The problem with a solar eclipse is that it’s an extremely rare event.In fact, all of us here in the United States are going to have to wait until the year 2017 for the next solar eclipse (it’s path of totality will run from the west coast of Oregon to the east coast of South Carolina).
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,Other engineers and innovations quickly followed.Notable among the early helicopter pioneers were Arthur Young, Frank Piasecki and Stanley Hiller.Young, backed by Bell Aircraft Corp., developed the Bell 30 helicopter and then the Bell 47, the first commercially certified helicopter.Piasecki designed the single-seater PV2 in 1943, but became better known for large cargo helicopters powered by two main rotors.No matter what gold price diagram you look at, the price of gold seems to be going upward.We are above old all time highs.Is it just a huge bubble or is the price justified? I wanted to look further than the customary 10 year charts available.
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,October 5 Libras experience conflict between their intellectual and spiritual goals.They value learning yet understand experience brings wisdom.They will not compromise their ideas and pride themselves on their social responsibility.They value friends who have the same interests as they have, yet they don’t rule out people who function on different wavelengths.Many of their beliefs and emotions are centered in the way they were raised; these beliefs are unlikely to be altered without great effort.Because they are naturally active, they are unlikely to have a weight problem.This is often linked to a genuine need to make a difference in the world.
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,Sell when stock price is ahead of the underlying story and facts.Mark is worth following simply for the fact he is more often right, then wrong, but the low float can be an issue, especially in the short term.The same can be said about GLUU.It popped too high too quickly (in hindsight) due to momentum.A less greedy investor (or a trader) would likely have sold it right away after the pop.Damned be Mark’s original projections for a $10/Sh.IMO, the problem retail investors have, in general, is that once they follow someone else’s advice to buy, they don’t really know when to sell.Normally, I will discuss regional bank earnings reports when updating my regional bank basket.
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,”One of the worst things about traveling for work is hotel beds.They are not as comfortable as your home bed.We believe in the importance of the new Egyptian government upholding universal values, and respecting the rights of all Egyptian citizens including women and religious minorities such as Coptic Christians.”The United States intends to work with all parties within Egypt to sustain our long-standing partnership as it consolidates its democracy.We commend the Presidential Election Commission and the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) for their role in supporting a free and fair election, and look forward to the completion of a transition to a democratically-elected government,” Carney said.
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,Its outskirts lay perhaps five miles ahead, and in the dusk of nightfall a myriad of lamps were pinpricks of flickering yellow tiny beacons beckoning to the two weary travelers.Another hour or so of lurching along the rutted road would see them reach the Promised Land well, a meal and a soft bed for the night was close enough to that.Rounding a corner at the bottom of the hill, they suddenly came upon a flamboyantly painted gypsy caravan, albeit with a broken wheel, beside the road and near to a blazing campfire.Reverend Parsley hauled on the reins and Sinner 666, the mini-Clydesdale, came to a halt beside the caravan.
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,Do you know what a business plan should include? Are you familiar with the principles of marketing? Do you know how to set up payroll? Accounting? Manage a client trust account? If not, you should plan to acquire this knowledge before you open your doors.There’s a myriad of good sources, both on the Web and in print; a few suggestions are noted on this page, but a few hours in the local bookstore can be time well spent.Also, think about your pre-existing clients who might know this information – other business owners, CPAs or bookkeepers, or your college roommate who went into marketing.It might be helpful to start a networking file, using either index cards with an alphabetical or functional filing system, or Microsoft Outlook or any of the other contact management software programs on the market.
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,It would also enable Japan to reassert itself as a leader and a model in the Asia Pacific.Facing an uncertain future with China gaining influence in the region, Japan needs to remain strong and dynamic at home, economically enabling it to leverage its technical and market-size advantages to secure its position in the region.The United States-the primary objector to the protection afforded to Japan’s agricultural sector-also still provides support for its own agriculture sector.However, the magnitudes are starkly different.For every dollar of agriculture production, Japan provides 56 cents of subsidies to farmers.
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,Dip the thinly-sliced beef into the pan juice and put it into the rolls.You can also use other meat instead of beef.In fact, Philippe’s the Original also has roast pork, turkey, lamb, and ham.They also dip these into their pan juices.And with some French rolls, it is also another version of French dip au jus.You need not go to Los Angeles to treat yourself with a French dip.You can always make one at home.If you are not that good with cooking, have a friend come over to help you.Perhaps he/she can deal with cooking the meat and you with the dipping sauce.Heat pan on stove to medium heat.Thus, information on key success factors are mostly collected by consulting companies or in-house, while even in-house knowledge is often not shared.
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,Look at this example:Byte 1 = 212Byte 2 = 232Byte 3 = 54Byte 4 = 135Byte 5 = 244Byte 6 = 15Byte 7 = 179Byte 8 = 80Total = 1151.1151 divided by 256 equals 4.496 (round to 4).Multiply 4 X 256 which equals 1024.1151 minus 1024 equals checksum of 127CRC (Cyclic Redundancy Check) – CRCs are similar in concept to checksums but they use polynomial division to determine the value of the CRC, which is usually 16 or 32 bits in length.The good thing about CRC is that it is very accurate.If a single bit is incorrect, the CRC value will not match up.Both checksum and CRC are good for preventing random errors in transmission, but provide little protection from an intentional attack on your data.
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,It easy to throw stones.It much more difficult to prove those airborne stones were deserving of flight.Don back down and you won fail the final test of the negotiation.If you cannot achieve satisfaction, follow negotiation expert Brodow Law: be willing to walk away.You got what you want and so does the other side.honey, it a win-win situation.Great! Get it on paper before you pat yourself on the back and get it to the other guys for sign-off.Why? First, tomorrow his memory may recall something differently.Second, many times negotiators occur between the leaders of organizations or people who guide the operation but have no legal background.
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,At 22, he graduated from his home state university with a doctoral degree in mathematics and then studied at Princeton.Although Blackwell aspired to a teaching position, racial bias closed doors; he was denied posts at Princeton and at the University of California at Berkeley.However, he was offered a position at Howard University.He became the United States’ leading expert on the subject, authoring a widely respected textbook on game theory, as well as research that resulted in several theorems named for him.One such theory, which explains how to turn rough guesses into on-target estimates, is known as the Rao-Blackwell theorem and remains an integral part of modern economics.
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,Despite some outstanding characteristics that white women may like from African American males, the fact that they actually share a common culture certainly makes bonding a lot easier.Therefore, white women would think that the only major difference really is in the color of the skin.Why do white women like black men? It is true that black men can be more sensitive than their white counterparts.The reason behind this is probably based on the fact that for many years the blacks bear the identity of being the minority.In American society, there is an existing although constantly denied notion that the minorities are inferior to the whites.
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,We did not receive compensation for this article (other than from Seeking Alpha), and we have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.Black Coral Research, Inc.is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer.Readers are advised that the material contained herein should be used solely for informational purposes.Investing involves risk, including the loss of principal.Introduction Cytology is the science of cells.There is an overlap with pathology, which can examine abnormal cells.I am interested in both subjects, which are very important.The top stem cell looks like a fried egg! A Taste of Pathology In this drawing leukemia is shown.
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,Conservative pundits and politicians routinely cite winter blizzards as evidence that Al Gore is wrong, for example, while Rush Limbaugh argued in 2007 that the National Hurricane Center must have misclassified one tropical storm that struck Canada on the grounds, the pundit said, that Scotia is not the tropics.Actually, I have to confess this time.It was all my fault.I left my truck running too long about 2 weeks ago and released too much carbon monoxide into the atmosphere.Also, my wife and I have too many kids and our over-d carbon footprint is to blame as well.I guess if we had only lived according to the laws of China, with regard to family , and ran around in the rain forests wearing loin cloths and lived in huts like the Yanamamos, none of this would have happened.
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,Because the investor, my family, is retired and opts for a low-risk portfolio, a larger share of the portfolio is invested in fixed income instruments.With the move toward tightening on the part of the Fed, the conventional wisdom is that fixed income will lose value.This trend will theoretically be mitigated over time with rebalancing and markets becoming more rational.The question is: will I assume room temperature before rationality stabilizes our portfolio.It is too small to realize the benefit of tax harvesting and other perquisites that are offered to those who dedicate their entire portfolio to the robo asset manager.
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,The next two figures (courtesy of CME Group) show pricing for the March contracts for Henry Hub natural gas and for West Texas Intermediate oil.Recall that WHZ has realized an average of $12 per barrel less than WTI due to transportation costs and other pricing effects, and a premium of about $1 to the Henry Hub price due to natural gas liquids (ethane, propane, butane, etc.).The premium this past quarter shrank to only about $0.40 as NGL prices have begun to collapse along with oil.(click to enlarge)(click to enlarge)(click to enlarge)Next quarter will have oil from January-March, and gas from December-February.
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,trusts are an interesting way to invest and should not be looked at from a pure market dynamic like price and earnings and such.With that in mind, let’s take a look at Permian Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE:PBT).Let’s focus on the price of oil for this exercise.As of the first quarter of 2012, the revenue from oil was threefold the revenue from natural gas for PBT.The numbers are $272,405 per day of oil sold and $94,447 per day of natural gas.Oil production has been fairly consistent over the years, and natural gas has declined some.In general, one can see that the payout trails the price in crude.
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,We went to a dinner theater last night.Very touristy, but entertaining, a fun group of people so while it wasn DisneyWorld (what I was hoping we do), we had a fabulous time being out with my cousins.Checked out of their timeshare this morning, went to breakfast together and then drove home.Cindy, never take anybody word about the points of ANYTHING, even mine.I suggest that you check out several regular and light ones in the market, and make your decision based on what you find.When I eat an egg (or 2) I eat a smallish breakfast.It out of the ordinary for me to choose meat or potatoes.BUT, I DO always have something besides the egg/toast.
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,Recent surfing related assaults in the United States, England and Australia have garnered an abundance of attention.颅Philosopher John Morreall believes that the first human laughter may have begun as a g颅esture of shared relief at the passing of danger.”Laughter occurs when people are comfortable with one another, when they feel open and free.And the more laughter [there is], the more bonding [occurs] within the group,” says cultural anthropologist Mahadev Apte.If you’ve often thought that everyone in the office laughs when the boss laughs, you’re very perceptive.In such cases, Morreall says, controlling the laughter of a group becomes a way of exercising power by controlling the emotional climate of the group.
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,Sweet Home Alabama is now down to two country boys fighting for Paige heart.Jeremiah is a farmer from a big family.Paige began falling for him early in the season, but he guarded his heart and couldn verbalize his feelings for her.Bubba is the cowboy every Southern girl dreams of having in her life.Paige chooses to spend her first date with Jeremiah because she is unsure of his feelings for her.They boarded a private jet and headed for an enormous cabin on a quiet lake in Alabama for her dream date.Her goal was to get him to open up to her.She questioned him about his music because she knew it was part of his soul.
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,Despite the nominal sales success of Lumia handsets, Nokia Devices and Services still slogged through $118 million in operating losses upon $4 billion in Q3 2013 net sales.I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions.I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha).Nokia Oro with unique Symbian Anna OSRunning on unique Symbian Anna operating system, Nokia Oro mobile phone has got various brilliant features in it.Nokia phones are cheap, mid range and expensive and the features also vary according to different users and their different requirements.Nokia Oro is the latest mobile phone introduced by this mobile phone brand.
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,Oyungerel Janchiv (11.42%).Water extraction and power generation are costs that are subject to large variances for Mongolian Mining Corp, but a greater risk resided in the transportation of it product to market.MMC plans to have railway access to the Chinese border by 2015, but for political reasons it will not match the gage of the Chinese rail lines and will end at the border.Until this rail line is done they are forced to continue using an existing network of roads which it has helped to build and maintain for years.Other Analysts that we follow have indicated that they believe the transportation concern is the largest single risk, and have stated that this should be mitigated when the railroad becomes operational.
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,there are some boulders that are tall and thin, so that you can actually use them as planks to guard your home in.all you need is to line up the boulders along the periphery of your backyard.Keep in mind, however, that you will need to determine exactly how many boulders you need before you buy them.Centerpieces.Another function that a boulder can have for your landscape is to be centerpieces.As centerpieces, you can get several boulders of different shapes and sizes and arrange them decoratively in the center of your garden.You can also use the boulders as naturally plant accessories.Cherry pickers.
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,Xbox 360 hit the stores last year and is still the top gaming console according to market trends.Jennie Kong, Sony’s European branch’s PR manager, defends the company’s strategy and claims that the company doesn’t allow itself to be dictated by their competitors’ moves.However, history supports the analysts’ views of the matter.It can be recalled that Microsoft and Sony had once faced the same situation, only this time, Sony has the advantage with the early release of their PS2 over the first Xbox.f Sony pushes for the November 2006 launch, it gives the Xbox 360 a full year sales advantage.However, the PS3 games franchise’s problem does not end with the launch’s delays.
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,If the car in front swerves to avoid an obstacle, your car can mimic the same swerve path by following the tire treads.Altogether, the traffic jam assistance system commandeers the engine, steering and brakes.So far, it seems like most will operate in a comparable way, as they’re also designed to allow completely hands-free operation in these low-speed scenarios.Owners of Mercedes equipped with traffic jam assistance systems have fewer options to pass the time, though — these drivers have to maintain contact with the steering wheel for the system to work.If a driver pulls his or her hands off the wheel, the system won’t engage.
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,All of the people who bought on the ASCO news are now underwater, creating an overhang of resistance that will be tough to penetrate.Even if the treatment holds potential and for now lets assume that it does what is the catalyst to force shares higher over the next several weeks? Two other wildcards concern me.I don have a good sense of what will happen to the Biovest holdings in that restructuring.Second, even if Accentia was doing fine, Biovest will still need to raise money.That means more dilution par for the course with biotechs, but still a negative incremental factor.Bottom line: There may be a good trade here, but I going to wait for a better entry.
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,10:24 AM”Are you sure?”Am I sure of what? Every statement in this piece is a fact.Yes, a portfolio with a 40% long Treasury allocation over the 10 years outperforms this fund.I could say that about just about every equity fund in existence!Re the Yahoo data, FPCGX was not listed anywhere and thus did not have a public quote until Jan 2003.Morningstar has all the prices back to January 1, 2002.Yes, a 60/40 portfolio is less volatile over the period, but that is comparing an apple to an orange.Jan 9, 2012.07:23 AM”Liquidating the bad investments may be good in terms of efficiency,.”The implication being that any OTHER solution is INefficient and therefore wastes resources.
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,She moves backwards as Martha slumps at her feet and her eyes widen as she sees the blood on her daughter face and neck.She bends down to touch as if her hands cold heal, and you bring down the iron as she looks up towards you.Nina says.She kicks the body of Martha and a sickening thud sounds.You watch and let her unwind after so much abuse and torment.Martha body is half on the stairs and half off.Her face is bloodied and her white dress is ruined, now.The bodies are slumped in the library.Nina is in the study searching for papers or letters that could connect you both with the Mictims.You are upstairs in the attic where you and Nina slept and spent what few moments you had free alone.
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,These types of games are readily available for free on numerous websites, including social networking sites like Facebook.Through these sites, you may play with virtual dollars as you try to double up to win the championship table.Be aware of the statistics.Unless you’re just happy being someone relying on gut instinct, you’ll be better off trying to count the remaining cards in the deck, and trying to figure out which these are.Poker really is about statistics, and knowing how good your chances are in beating a possible combination.For instance, if you have two aces in your hand, you should know that there is a very good chance that no one else has a pair of aces.
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,Supernus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:SUPN) is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing products for the treatment of central nervous system diseases.The company is developing several product candidates in neurology and psychiatry to address large market opportunities in epilepsy and ADHD including ADHD patients with impulsive aggression.These product candidates include Trokendi XR (extended-release topiramate), formerly known as SPN-538 and SPN-804 (extended-release-oxcarbazepine) for epilepsy, SPN-810 for impulsive aggression in ADHD and SPN-812 for ADHD.(click to enlarge)The stock surged 37% on Wednesday with no news.
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,In addition the railway connection to the Ruhr-Valley, Germany’s largest industrial area, was vital as VW was dependent on the steel supply from there.Once the production aspect was completed, Ferdinand Porsche facilitated the manufacturing process and introduced flow production.He based this on the same principles of flow production at Henry Ford’s production lines in Detroit/USA.However, in the early 90s, VW was facing a dilemma regarding their position in the market.VW embarked on a number of high profile acquisitions and with each one introduced the same business philosophies that had worked for them.
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,near Howland Island received by the US Coast guard cutter Itasca.The transmission confirmed low on fuel and that despite a morse code reply from the cutter, she was unable to determine their direction.After an hour of last message the USCG cutter Itasca conducted search of the missing plane based on assumptions from the radio transmissions which was unsuccessful.We are very aware of the grave nature of the above headline, and the impact of information disclosed in this story.We understand clearly that there are consequences for making statements that are false or based upon incorrect assumptions.
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,Then, don’t just state them — demonstrate them.Instead of, “I enjoy Stanley Kubrick films,” say, “The other night I was watching “A Clockwork Orange,” and I found myself thinking it would be a lot more fun to watch and discuss it with someone else.” Humor is especially important.Not everyone shares the same sense of humor, so saying “I’m a funny person” isn’t sufficient.You’ll get more responses from people who are looking for the same thing you are, whether you want to settle down with a long-term relationship or just want a date for Friday night.”I think there is more of a mental connection first by online dating,” said one user, a teacher from New York.
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,Two hundred feet (61 meters) up above a dirt road outside of Salt Lake City, Utah, a 14-ton (12.7-metric-ton) steel door marks the entrance to the world’s most secure collection of genealogical data.The storage facility, built in to the side of a mountain by the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, is designed to keep more than 2 million rolls of microfilm safe from moisture, contaminants and even nuclear blasts.The data, collected from all over the world, is stored in more than 700 feet (213 meters) of climate-controlled tunnels inside the mountain.We’ve already touched on the importance of a large and active community for a site like GenForum.
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,If the handle has corroded, carefully lift the battery by its sides.Check the cables to make sure they’re not corroded.If they are, pick up some replacement cables at the auto parts store.Renting a property with Airbnb happens entirely online.One of the keys to the company’s success is its well-designed, eye-catching Web site.In the early days, the founders visited each of the New York rental properties personally to take good photos and write up colorful descriptions [source: Thompson].If you know exactly where you want to stay, type in the city and neighborhood name along with your travel dates.
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,Several studies have found that drinking black tea with a meal can inhibit the absorption of iron from non-animal sources, like beans, spinach and tofu.The good news is researchers from King’s College in the UK determined that people who don’t have a preexisting risk of iron deficiency can safely drink it without lowering their iron levels beyond normal.If you do have an iron deficiency, the study authors advice drinking black tea between meals, at least one hour after eating.Every year when school begins, I am reminded how much I adore routine.I do enjoy the lazy days of summer and the ability to coast through life for a bit, and I always sad at the prospect of having less time to spend with my kids.
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,The only way people have been able to maintain their lifestyle has been to borrow against their house and run up their credit cards.That is a phony improvement in lifestyle.The country has been living a lie for the last twenty years.It is now time to pay the piper.Even more disturbing is the fact that the top 20% of households showed real increases in income.The bottom 50% lost income during the Bush years, with the bottom 20% losing 6% of income over this time frame.No wonder there is so much anger in the country regarding this bailout for the top 1%.Fifty million households make less today than they made 8 years ago.
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,While SaaS vendors cannot guarantee 100% un interrupted performance in the cloud, they should be “punished” for any down time.Many SaaS vendors include an SLA under which there is a credit granted to each instance of down time.Summary: Miss Watson tries to civilize Huck.Tom and Huck, who are good friends, finds a new-found friendship with the slave Jim.Huck’s father, who is a drunken man, comes and tries to take away Huck but Huck, to avoid going back, runs away along with.Huck along with Jim, travels on a raft and set out to find a new home by sailing down the Mississipi River.They would travel at night and hides during the day in woods.
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,”Bones under Parking Lot Belong to Richard III.” The New York Times.Feb.4, 2013.(Nov.”Immune to Cancer: Naked Mole Rats Reveal Their Secret.” Live Science.June 19, 2013.(Nov.”King Richard III had worms, scientists say.” CNN.Sept.5, 2013.Despite the genius-level IQ of Tim Cook, he was unable to make allowance for the obvious short-supply of the Mac Pro.(click to enlarge)Source: Apple AmericaThe radical look, very dual powerful graphics cards, smaller form factor, and modular upgradeable form factor of the new Mac Pro should have already warned Tim Cook that the product will bring in 10x more demand.
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,That has changed, but few really review filings today, even though it is easy to do so.This is a good book, and you can learn a lot from it, but many of the references are dated, as in the classic version of Intelligent Investor.Do you want to improve your investing? Look to earnings quality.Who could benefit from the book? Any investor could benefit from the book, particularly those that analyze fundamentals.This old book still has value, and I recommend it.It will require more effort than most investors are willing to put forth, but I believe it will yield value to those who work with it.Full Disclosure: I review books because I love reading books, and want to introduce others to the good books that I read, and steer them away from bad or marginal books.
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,Their names: Nixon, Ford and Carter – not coincidentally the first 3 in our analysis period! – and Bill Clinton.What is clear is that debt, so often associated with Democrats, is not necessarily a Democrat thing.Ronald Reagan, whose presidency is so often seen as one of the better ones with the economy recovering after the poor 1970s albeit at a huge price when it became clear that Supply Side economics based on the so-called Laffer curve didn’t really work, was one of the champions of increased net spending.If the net spending is the result of excess government spending on social welfare, jobs, health care, education etc (popular with Democrats) or defense (the latter often popular with Republicans) or simply because tax rates are too low (also a favorite of Republics) is basically a non-issue.
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,The PE of the market is still above 20.Profits will plunge in 2009 and irrational pessimism could propel the Dow to its 2002 low of 7,200.That would be 28% below today levels and almost 50% below the all time high of 14,000.Even if we somehow avoid a true depression, the next few years will be extremely painful.The question is whether we come out the other side as a stronger Nation or a weaker declining Nation.The words of Congressman Ron Paul should be the rallying cry for our great country.issue boils down to this: do we care about freedom? Do we care about responsibility and accountability? Do we care that our government and media have been bought and paid for? Do we care that average Americans are being looted in order to subsidize the fattest of cats on Wall Street and in government? Do we care? When the chips are down, will we stand up and fight, even if it means standing up against every stripe of fashionable opinion in politics and the media? Times like these have a way of telling us what kind of a people we are, and what kind of country we shall be.
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,All the same, this task is beyond our capacity.97.Abhirami is praised and extolled by the sun, moon, fire, kubera (god of money) Indra (the chief of gods, heavenly beings) Brahma, the Shiva, who has burnt the three-tiered protective walls, Murari, ( The Vishnu, who punished the demon, Muran), the saint Agasthiar, who has lived in Pothigai Mountains, the Velan (Lord Murugha) equipped with Vel (lance) and has won the war, Ganapathy, Manmadha (God Of Love, Eros) people who has capitalized and achieved and by charitable minded good people, and by other such umpteen people, Abhirami is praised and worshipped.
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,Our Lord Shiva! Protect us and bless us with your lotus feet.Guard us and bless me with your Lotus feet which is the end all.May your divine feet, the Lotus feet are also the origin of all living things and save us! Your divine feet, that offer to living beings,the benefits in this present birth and in the next birth too.May your divine feet, that absorb everything and save us, may the feet which are unknown to Brahma and Vishnu save us, May your divine feet, which make us your servants only to shower on us your bliss and to save me! The water sanctified in this month Margazhi, which is the divine grace personified.
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,If the focus of the worship is the music and the experience rather than the Lord, then it is false worship regardless of whether the style is rock or baroque.Church, wake up! We are not here to compete with the world on the world’s terms.We are here to counter the spirit of the age with a vastly different spirit.We are not here to call young people to sign up for a free rock concert every week – how difficult is that? – but to call them to a costly commitment of service to the Lord Jesus Christ.We are not here to indulge our flesh, but to manifest the glory of the Lord.Most people can agree on what Santa Claus looks like – jolly, with a red suit and a white beard.
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,In general, when we discuss rare earth elements we talk about China v.ROW.When we talk about the downstream segment of the supply chain, we need to talk about China Japan v.The same can be said for operations located in China.This is where it starts to get ugly.Because there is no hood, there is fluorine gas emitting into the atmosphere.Inhaling fluorine gas is, to put it mildly, not healthy.In fact, the Agency for Toxic Substances Disease Registry in 2003 said, “Exposure to high concentrations of fluorine can cause death to lung damage”.Not to overstate the point, but we would also add that this electrolysis cell was charged up to twelve volts according to the individual who provided us with the photo.
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,He will get help from women who play the roles of a capable helper, manageress of the family, one who establishes sense of love and affection amongst family members and one who devotedly helps the oppressed class overcome all forms of harassment.It is men who will benefit when women who have so far been tied to their throats like heavy stones will now become images of goddesses who will bless them with various gifts.Thus the farsighted benefit of males lies in not only helping in advancing of his wife but the family and world society too.Men will attain their spiritual goal or salvation too because it is indeed a meritorious deed to help advance that class of society that has faced more grief than those who remain hungry during famines and those who for many years have lived a slave like life devoid of basic human rights.
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,Trends in Market: In the world of fashion, change is the only constant and so if a course was designed even two years back it is kind of obsolete now.A reputed institution would regularly work on its curriculum to ensure that it takes into account the latest trends in the market.This can be in terms of the fabric that is being used or the cuts and the colors that are attracting the customers.Yet this may not be enough as by the time you graduate these design and trends may also be pushed to the pages of history.Marketing Knowledge: You have great design, you are offering these at great price, but how do you sell them? A retailer may not be interested in your outfits and you won’t like putting up a stall on the street.
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,Appendix: flash resource guide Check the appendix out if you’re ready to immerse yourself in flash and take your studies to the next level.Included is a comprehensive list of flash related applications, technical resources, and flash websites.For those readers who want to delve a little deeper into Action Script, this appendix is equipped with a complete list of website is offering the free source code.This is a great way to learn how other designers have created many of the cool effects you see on the web.Also included are learning resources, technical references, tutorials, and sites that offer audio, sound loop, and video for use in your flash movies.
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,It uses a lot of precious water, and it has been accused of potentially polluting a nearby water table.New techniques may come along that are more efficient.Competition become more fierce for the fracking business.I believe that the potential rewards far outweigh the risks, however.I remain very, very bullish on the stock.I consider it one of the greatest growth stocks in the market today.I also chose the stock as one of the 53 stock in my book Best Stock Now 2011 summer edition.The stock is currently ranked number 23 out of 2,682 stocks in my Best Stocks Now app universe.It currently has a Gunderson Grade of A-.
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,Therefore, a positive result in BESTFIT could demonstrate safety, efficacy, and tolerability not only for the FM space empirically, but in the PTSD space theoretically.The market won’t ignore the correlation.In an effort to be conservative, this article will look forward without any consideration of CAGR, and will assume a blanket discount of 40% for differences in methodology.So then, the assumption herein is that positive results from BESTFIT could project peak sales of TNX-102 SL at $560 million in the FM space.That assumes capturing of 40% of a $1.4 billion market ripe with expiring patents, side-effect ridden treatments, moderate safety concerns, and a receptive patient population.
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,Brent Cook brings more than 30 years of experience to his role as a geologist, consultant and investment adviser.His knowledge spans all areas of the mining business, from the conceptual stage through detailed technical and financial modeling related to mine development and production.Cook’s weekly Exploration Insights newsletter focuses on early discovery, high-reward opportunities, primarily among junior mining and exploration companies.DISCLOSURE:1) JT Long conducted this interview for Streetwise Reports LLC, publisher of The Gold Report, The Energy Report, The Life Sciences Report and The Mining Report, and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an employee.
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,A challenge to anyone reading this would be to go to one of those independently-run kiosks and try to find an iPhone 4 alongside newer Smartphones.My guess is that it wouldn’t be too hard.All I can say is given the context of the first two points I made, we know where MW’s biases lie and that they have been shown to not tell the full story if a piece of that story doesn’t support their cause.A theme that seems to keep coming up is that on Chinese tech-related message boards and chat rooms, NQ is generally seen in a negative or insignificant way.On North American message boards, how often do you see critiques that are overwhelmingly positive? I work in the Canadian Telecom industry and I have seen my fair share of articles and message boards on the industry.
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,(Click to enlarge) Cash in the bank is at an all time high: Non-banks in the S 500 have two trillion cash in the bank, the highest levels ever.This cash is sitting around doing nothing.Do you know what happens when cash is sitting around doing nothing? Probably nothing annoys me more than hearing those ten words when I am talking with someone about the market.When is cash in the bank not at all time high? Go read Galbraith’s Great Crash and you will find the same mumbo jumbo coming out of promoters back in 1929.Not like that is a valid comparison, but when don’t you here perma bulls talking about cash in the bank being at all time highs.
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,Mr.Musk did not invent the wheel, he figured out how to sell it and make it popular, and in the process produced one of the highest rated cars by consumer reports.initially for the “well-off”), and thereby creating demand, is nothing new.Look at Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and its business model.Initially, only ivy schools could use it, then other colleges, and lastly everyone.As any executive will know, every business plan is carefully crafted and executed in steps.and Canada and, slowly, around Europe and Asia, one may start to realize that this is not a mere car company.alone could bring an additional gross margin revenue of $110 million.
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,The “proved developed” acreage is 73% owned by Sand Ridge and the “development” acreage is 69.3% owned by SandRidge.The trust merely has to sit back and enjoy the benefits, meaning that the trust doesn’t need to take capital out of distributions to drill wells.That reserve estimate was three years ago and includes significant reserves, which have already been produced.Therefore, we can get a rough estimate of present value by multiplying 2011 NPV by the remaining 75% of production.Of course, the NPV estimate is based on $80 realized oil prices.Personally, I believe that WTI will average out to $80 over the next five years.
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,I think that Carbo is a little bit better than the average stock in the sector, however.Consider that the 2,700 stocks that I currently follow with my Best Stocks Now app currently have a forward PE ratio of about 16.I feel pretty comfortable using a multiple of 15.5X earnings at that point in time.So, the five year target price is pretty simple: $19.08 X 15.5 = $295 The formula that I use is a very common, projected growth and earnings formula used by many money managers.With a current price on Carbo Ceramics of $164.49 and a five year target price of $295, the stock currently has 82% upside potential over the next five years.
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,This scenario yields operating cash flow of $15M and free cash flow of -$1M.Then they double production in 2016 while the price stays at ~$100 and achieve operating cash flow of $34M in 2016, assuming no capex.The aggregate free cash flow for this period (ignoring working capital deltas) amounts to $33M at year-end 2015, which is still short $40M of paying their financial obligationsAnd remember, this scenario assumes:Average WTI prices of ~$100 for the coming two yearsNo impairment charges to their booked reservesProduction of 2,000 boepd in 2016, vs.At WTI prices anywhere near the present levels, the company will have to officially write off a substantial part of their reserve base very soon, inevitably triggering a sell-off.
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,There is no exploration risk here, this is a known deposit with infrastructure in place.Unlike most of its peers though, the shares of Pershing haven’t fallen off a cliff in 2014.Those initiatives have driven strong revenue growth at the expense of short-term profitability.I really appreciate the big insider ownership, but until there is steady and predictable cash flow, this would be considered somewhat speculative.3) MusclePharm (OTCQB:MSLP) – Frost owns convertible preferred sharesMusclePharm Corporation is a scientifically driven, performance lifestyle company that develops, manufactures, markets and distributes branded nutritional supplements.
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,I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions.I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha).Can you imagine it? A blind person sitting in the driver’s seat and driving to his or her mom’s house? It sounds like a thing of the future doesn’t it? Believe it or not, that concept really isn’t all that far off.As a matter of fact, Google already produced a self driving car that was used to allow a blind man to drive! The video is below.However, there are a few kinks that need to be worked out of the technology before it becomes widely available.While several companies are already racing to develop the perfect self driving car first, a new contender has entered the race a bit late.
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,In a labor-intensive industry, the assets go home at night, and nobody owns them.In a capital-intensive industry, the assets are turned off at night (sometimes), and as few as one person may own them.So long as we have a mix of industry types, the workers do all right.Marx understood the ills of capitalism quite well, but he didn have clue how to set up a better arrangement.The Europeans are in a mess now because they tried to do what I saying must be done pay people not to work.They have proved either that it can be done, or that it can be done the way they tried to do it.I not sure what happens in France when they raise the early retirement age.
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,Another example is if Corporate wants to negotiate keeping some Gramercy Realty properties in exchange for the deed-in-lieu foreclosure.CDO 2007 could provide a mortgage for those properties transforming its CDO restricted cash into Corporate unrestricted cash.The possibilities are endless with a good jockey managing those proceeds.GAAP Accounting Just a brief accounting note.We have discussed how CDOs 2005 and 2006 have positive net interest margin, with CDO 2006 cash flowing to corporate, and that the CDOs are non recourse to corporate assets.Surprisingly, given that the absolute worst case scenario should still leave some recovery for Gramercy, Gramercy Finance has a large NEGATIVE book value.
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,Here is a comparison to prior years non-seasonally adjusted initial claims with the approximate gain over the previous week: 2005 693,776 (+153K)2006 555,114 (+80K)2007 506,709 (+0K)2008 547,943 (+25K)2009 956,791 (+225K)2010 815,593 (+170K)2011 770,413 (+192K) It is likely that the seasonal adjustment factors are a little off this week, and is one more reason to follow the four week moving average with smooths out the inconsistencies in the data.The unadjusted increase for the first week of the year in 2011 is similar to the two preceeding years (2009 and 2010).All three are obviously much larger than the preceeding three years (2006,2007 and 2008).
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,As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of COCKRELL GROUP Research.The last time I wrote about AUD/USD, we stressed that many of the traditional cross asset links had blown up.Not only has the relationship weakened in the medium run, but a short run focus suggests that the link remains very poor.The link between AUD/USD and the swap curve spread may in fact have disappeared.(click to enlarge)A relationship that has not disappeared and shows no apparent mispricing for the AUD/USD is the real rates spread.Real rates combine long nominal rates and (market based) inflation expectations.
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,Take, for example, Arthur Miller’s play “The Crucible.” Set in the 1600’s, it begins with a harmless children’s dance in the woods and ends with the hangings of around twenty innocent people.Some unsavory truths are unearthed, but for the most part, we simply witness young girls having to choose between the giving and receiving ends of all the finger pointing.Those who remain neutral are as damned as the accused.(Sorry, Switzerland.)If the long ago, faraway setting gives you some comfort, remember that The Crucible was written during the Cold War, when liberal, vocal, or simply unpopular Americans were regularly tried as “Communist supporters.” Miller, who was blacklisted from Hollywood for opposing the House of Un-American Activities Committee, wrote the play as an allegory equating McCarthyism with Dark-Age thinking – not to mention, a bunch of hysterical pre-teens.
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,”Security is mostly a superstition.It does not exist in nature, nor do the children of men as a whole experience it.Treasury’s reduction of both T-Bills, T-Notes, and Treasury bond purchases as well as mortgages, the battle over the Federal Budget Bill and the debt ceiling will be coming in Congress before YE 2013.The Current “Known” Situation No one can predict how much or how little, how fast, or how gradual, or at what rate of reduction will come to, or to what degree, or how it will affect the various markets.Will it have global ripples and repercussions to international trade? How severe will it be constricting home buying, auto sales, and other domestic spending? Almost certainly it will have unforeseen consequences, and heightened, maybe wild volatility.
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,NPD Group and Nielsen Data track POS for many consumer product goods including coffee related sales.It should be recognized that taken together, NPD data and Nielsen data represent roughly 40% of the trade.NPD data is almost entirely comprised of Wal-Mart sales, nearly 75% of their respective sales data.Oh market saturation, how art though the opportunistic beast of burden?Moreover, even with the stated impact from the overall coffee category and fewer brewer sales during Q1 2015, portion pack sales still managed to grow in both sales and volume.K-cup sales grew 9% year-over-year with a 13% increase in volume.
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,Since there is apparently no downside to QE, it is a shame that we didn’t figure this out earlier.Rather than the per month that had been mooted over the last couple of days with little currency-market reaction, the ECB pledged And they promised to continue until September 2016, making the total value of QE around trillion.(That’s about $1.3 trillion at today’s exchange rate, but of course if it works then it will be much less than $1.3 trillion at the September 2016 exchange rate).and in Japan.It occurred to me that, since I have previously played with long-term real equity returns, and we have the real yield on 10-year TIPS as well, that it would be interesting to see if using these figures might produce a useful strategy for switching between assets (which doesn’t change the fact that I am a long-term investor; this is still based on long-term values.
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,And it’s teaching my kids a very valuable life lesson for now and the future.Google Earth makes aerial photographs of every square inch of the globe readily available to anyone with a computer.One common response is sheer awe and joy at the dramatically increased access to the world.Another one, which usually immediately follows the first and has to do with the human urge to look up one’s own address, is, “Oh, that’s kind of creepy.” While most people love the idea of viewing the world on their computer, they don’t love the idea of the world viewing them.Could someone use Google Earth to more effectively stalk a target? Could burglars use Google Earth to case an area?There are a couple of things to note when considering personal privacy concerns.
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,As those tax payments would not diminish the value of the trust assets that would ultimately pass to their children, they would be the equivalent of additional gifts not subject to gift tax.As long as the settlor has surrendered all dominion and control over the trust’s remainder interest, this arrangement would have no effect on the transfer taxation of the arrangement, which would remain as described.(It would be best not to have both Lionel and Jane create similar defective grantor GRATs.You have probably heard this numerous times repeatedly: Trading is probably your thing.This serves as a primer on a particular part of trading, technical analysis, that may help introduce those who may be considering the incredibly satisfying world of financial securities and derivatives trading.
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,Remember not to be greedy.Request an audience with customers.Ask them to set a time for you to discuss your proposals.If you are granted your request, come to the meeting ready and prepared.Bring a list of your cleaning materials.Discuss to them the manner by which your cleaning services will be conducted in their offices.Hire efficient people.Lazy helpers are not acceptable in this field so be careful before employing applicants.Interview them well.Know their experiences.Wu sent a bizarre picture of himself in a tiger costume to his staffers, and some of them urged him to seek psychiatric help.
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,Then, immediately before my workout, I would take two glucose tablets and two more glucose tablets during my workout.My workout lasts an hour.Well, that seemed to do the trick.When taken, the glucose tablets would immediately be used as energy and never cause my glucose levels to surge making my insulin levels spike.Eventually my blood sugar stayed pretty much even all of the time.I would have occasional hypoglycemic episodes, but they were minor and were easily fixed with a 2 to 3 glucose tablets.Now, I am no doctor, but I will say that there is a good chance that you can overcome your problem with Reactive Hypoglycemia or Idiopathic Postprandial Syndrome with diet and exercise.
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,Market is willing to sell or pay for a piece of a business doesn’t necessarily have anything to do with what that slice of equity might actually be worth.If a current valuation makes sense, the future growth is still reasonable, and the company continues to treat me right as a shareholder, then why in the world would I sell?”Games are won by players who focus on the playing field – not by those whose eyes are glued to the scoreboard.If you can enjoy Saturdays and Sundays without looking at stock prices, give it a try on weekdays.”This is a follow-up to the previous points.Looking at prices alone and worrying about what Mr.
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,has submitted an FDA pre-market approval application for its Activa Neurostimulator for the treatment of epilepsy.As for depression a Bloomberg Businessweek article published just yesterday discussed a competitor Brainsway Ltd.With over 90% of sales being derived from refractory epilepsy patients the current market valuation of $1.5 Billion foolishly assumes that CYBX will continue to gain a 90% market share in 40 years.We can’t help but think of the analogies to the scenario and how that ended for investors.As noted economist Robert Shiller has highlighted rarely does investing at 40x earnings result in positive returns over time.
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,Crate Barrel (646 N Michigan Ave) is a flagship store on Michigan Avenue toting housewares and home furnishings.The choices are varied, ranging from the great blues clubs, the famous Second City comedy troupe, and the family-friendly ESPN Zone.5.Varying textures is a cinch: A vegetable-based soup can be made chunky or it can be pur茅ed for a creamy taste without all the fat.Hand-held immersion blenders that you submerge in a pot of soup make pur茅eing especially easy.A simmering feud between leading wireless carrier China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) and top Internet firm Tencent (HKEx: 700, OTCPK:TCEHY) was back in the headlines last week, with new accusations by the former against the latter, drawing attention to the near monopoly status that many state-run firms often enjoy due to strong government protection.
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,It is no surprise, therefore, that the soaring increase prescriptions for OxyContin closely correlates to the increase in drug-induced deaths, unintentional overdoses, and ER visits.(click to enlarge)Accordingly, illicit use of OxyContin is on the forefront of the FDA / DEA’s concern.FDA advisory committee met and recommended the development of new abuse-resistant formulations of oxycodone-ER, fingers have been pointed squarely at Purdue’s OxyContin as the root cause of the spike in overdoses and deaths.FDA data from that meeting shows that 79% of the time (90 of 114 instances noted in the FDA presentation) OxyContin was crushed as the method of preparation and then injected (72%) or snorted (28%).
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,Management stated that they have approved for a chain wide test with Rite-aid for DermaWand in a 4Q 2014 test at all of Rite Aid’s 4600 stores.King and Mr.Ransom will be attending the National Association Of Chain Drug Store Companies in Boston, where ICTV will showcase DermaWand and Coral actives.Many major retailers will attend this conference such as Walgreens, Ulta, and Cosco to name a few.We are sticking to our original thesis for 2015, and have expanded 2016 to $100M in revenue.For example, in Mexico the company currently nets $10 per DermaWand sold through its distribution partner.The push to retail for ICTV is an enormous opportunity as the company has never been in retail and can unlock a huge growth opportunity.
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,”Apple, Google, and Microsoft each offer all three things: devices, services, and platforms.But each has a different starting point.With Apple it’s the device.With Microsoft it’s the platform.With Google it’s the services.”And thus all three companies can brag about things that only they can achieve.What Cook is arguing, and which I would say last week’s WWDC exemplified more so than at any point since the original iPhone in 2007, is that there are more advantages to Apple’s approach.” No one believes this more than Cook himself.Apple’s CEO has a laser-like determination that’s “manically focused” on fully utilizing Apple’s creative potential to the best.
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,It is the highest rate available at year-end since 2010.Treasuries0.37%Nominal bonds and inflation-linked bonds ought to have the same a priori expectation, but Treasuries trade rich to TIPS because of their value as repo collateral.Current 10y nominal rate is 2.87%, implying 0.37% real.T-Bills-0.50%Is less than for longer Treasuries because of liquidity preference.Corp Bonds-0.69%Corporate bonds earn a spread that should compensate for expected credit losses.A simple regression of Moody’s “A”-Rated Corporate yields versus Treasury yields suggests the former are about 45bps rich to what they should be for this level of Treasury yields.
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,The second part of the question is even more important, and surrounds something called a Cost Sharing Agreement, which Apple has signed along with its Irish subsidiary, ASI.Under that agreement, ASI pays 60% of Apple R costs, and in return gets to keep 60% of the income from Apple intellectual property.This agreement, Apple executives repeatedly said, was signed arm length, with the 60/40 ratio representing the respective proportions of Apple sales split: Europe and Asia account for 60% of Apple sales, with the Americas accounting for 40%.But the fact is, as Levin hammered home at the end of the hearing, that Apple intellectual property is its crown jewel; that the amount it spends on R is in no way reliant on the fact that it getting some of that money from Ireland; and that in no conceivable universe would Apple ever sell off 60% of the rights to its intellectual property in return for a promise to pay 60% of present and future R costs.
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,VOC’s ROI is 7.6%, which is 3rd-best among all trusts.However, those considering an investment should note that VOC’s royalties will expire in Dec.2031 and yield no terminal value.The higher trailing yield (13.1%) and terminating royalty could cause VOC to have greater fluctuation in market price than other trusts.PER still has a substantial number of wells that will be added, but the distribution is likely to stay flat and then decline precipitously.SDR still has additional wells to be completed, but the performance of the existing wells has been abysmal (see my SDR article).Like VOC, MVO offers $0 terminal value and a trailing yield around 13%.
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,A good business with consistent sales growth, a growing market, healthy profit margins, balance sheet, strong free cash flow yields relative to industry peers, and competent management (often including founding members) delivering year-on-year ROE growth, can get pulled down with the rest of the market due to macro fundamentals – the rest of the market undergoing a necessary pullback/correction.This process extracts a shortlist of companies which I can then focus on and research further.Rather, the stock screener functions as a practical filter, narrowing down a database of thousands of stocks into a list of companies that meet a specific set of screening rules.
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,We have had the courage to make all the right moves, and we have delivered.There are ‘fun for you’ products like Pepsi, Lays etc; ‘better for you’ products like Diet Pepsi and ‘good for you’ products like Quaker Oats.”For a company like PepsiCo to sustain its growth, we don’t swing the pendulum one way or the other.One such company is Starbucks, which has been going higher on the back of a strong quarter and low coffee prices.Cramer thinks in the near future the stock will cross $100 mark.”From the very beginning we started out not as a franchise system, but as a company-owned system.We recognized early on that if we were going to be a company-owned system that the cultural values and guiding principles, mainly our people, are going to be the equity of the brand,” said Schultz.
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,Apple for the past several years has been essentially stuck in a bit of rut when it comes to stock performance.The stock which unit recently (post Q2 earnings) had been essentially range bound between the $500 – $540 level.Apple’s problems seemed to stem from its own success and extremely high margins and street expectations.Every time the firm met or slightly exceeded expectations the street was always hoping for more, resulting in a sell-off.What Apple CEO Tim Cook has done right is recognizing that his company is no longer a high flying growth company, but instead has matured into a slow moving value company.
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,Increased sophistication provides no improvement in economic forecasting accuracy.Consensus forecasts offer little improvement.Forecasts may be affected by psychological bias.Consider the evidence from a study on Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA), a market timing strategy.For the twelve years ending 1997, while the S P 500 on a total return basis rose 734 percent the average return for 186 TAA funds was a mere 384 percent, about half the return of the S P 500 Index.(2)Another study of 100 large pension funds and their experience with market timing found that while they all had engaged in at least some market timing, not one had improved its rate of return as a result.
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,Discounting the common unit distribution profile using a 10% rate, produces fair value at $12.80 per unit.At a 15% rate, fair value is $10.50.Part of the reason could be that the Permian basin is more oily and seems better understood relative to the Mississippian.In addition, PER has more wells, more concentrated acreage (one county vs.nine for SDR), and a lower drill cost per well.The latter may be an important factor in light of SD’s recent credit concerns.An additional factor, as highlighted in Chart 2, is the asymmetric return profiles of both PER and SDR.According to our model, PER has positive convexity with respect to energy prices.
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,A very low yield may be a buying opportunity.That’s what we saw in 2008-2009, when the P/E TTM ratio shot up into the triple digits.In the chart below, I calculate the “P/E F10,” which is the stock index divided by a moving average of the subsequent ten-years’ worth of earnings, and plot it beside CAPE and returns.(click to enlarge)You can see that, like P/E TTM, it correlates quite well with CAPE for long periods of time, especially after World War I.After all, what is the alternative? It is almost (but not quite) the same thing to compare forward-looking earnings with future returns.That is to say, by definition, if you pay too much for future earnings, your future returns will be weak.(click to enlarge)We will come back to that later.
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,This investment could in turn could lead to a larger stream of revenues.Ideally, the company would start a buyback down the road to rebuild shareholder equity.It is likely however that the original proposal will go through.If you are holding NYMT, I am not recommending a sell, though I could see why the dilutive effect could make a sale tempting especially since NYMT trades at a premium to book.If you are like me and have been waiting for a pullback to get involved here then this could be the opportunity to get in.NYMT has appreciated nicely in the last two months, but shares are down 6% as I write on this news of the secondary.
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,Position: PitcherTeams: Brooklyn Excelsiors, 1866-1867; Stars of Brooklyn, 1868-1872; New York Mutuals, 1872; Lord Baltimores, 1873; Philadelphia Athletics, 1874; Hartford Dark Blues, 1875-1876; Cincinnati Reds, 1877 William Arthur Cummings (1848-1924) came by his nickname of Candy in the late 1860s.During that period, when Cummings was first gaining prominence as a pitcher, “candy” was a popular term for anything that was one of the best of its kind.Cummings was clearly that.Pitching for the Excelsior club of Brooklyn, Candy regularly beat the best amateur teams of his day despite his unimposing physical dimensions.
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,When you cast a valid vote via toll-free call, you will hear a recording thanking you for your vote.Any vote attempts via toll-free call beyond the 10 vote limit per day per originating phone number will not be counted as valid votes.The producers reserve the right to disqualify, block or remove any votes from any individual who votes by any electronic, mechanical or automated means, or otherwise tampers with the vote process.Telephone calls to the Food Network Star voting lines are toll-free from landlines.If you use a wireless phone to call, airtime and applicable roaming and long-distance charges may apply.
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,Conservative pundits and politicians routinely cite winter blizzards as evidence that Al Gore is wrong, for example, while Rush Limbaugh argued in 2007 that the National Hurricane Center must have misclassified one tropical storm that struck Canada on the grounds, the pundit said, that Scotia is not the tropics.Actually, I have to confess this time.It was all my fault.I left my truck running too long about 2 weeks ago and released too much carbon monoxide into the atmosphere.Also, my wife and I have too many kids and our over-d carbon footprint is to blame as well.I guess if we had only lived according to the laws of China, with regard to family , and ran around in the rain forests wearing loin cloths and lived in huts like the Yanamamos, none of this would have happened.
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,Because the investor, my family, is retired and opts for a low-risk portfolio, a larger share of the portfolio is invested in fixed income instruments.With the move toward tightening on the part of the Fed, the conventional wisdom is that fixed income will lose value.This trend will theoretically be mitigated over time with rebalancing and markets becoming more rational.The question is: will I assume room temperature before rationality stabilizes our portfolio.It is too small to realize the benefit of tax harvesting and other perquisites that are offered to those who dedicate their entire portfolio to the robo asset manager.
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,The next two figures (courtesy of CME Group) show pricing for the March contracts for Henry Hub natural gas and for West Texas Intermediate oil.Recall that WHZ has realized an average of $12 per barrel less than WTI due to transportation costs and other pricing effects, and a premium of about $1 to the Henry Hub price due to natural gas liquids (ethane, propane, butane, etc.).The premium this past quarter shrank to only about $0.40 as NGL prices have begun to collapse along with oil.(click to enlarge)(click to enlarge)(click to enlarge)Next quarter will have oil from January-March, and gas from December-February.
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,trusts are an interesting way to invest and should not be looked at from a pure market dynamic like price and earnings and such.With that in mind, let’s take a look at Permian Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE:PBT).Let’s focus on the price of oil for this exercise.As of the first quarter of 2012, the revenue from oil was threefold the revenue from natural gas for PBT.The numbers are $272,405 per day of oil sold and $94,447 per day of natural gas.Oil production has been fairly consistent over the years, and natural gas has declined some.In general, one can see that the payout trails the price in crude.
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,Recent surfing related assaults in the United States, England and Australia have garnered an abundance of attention.颅Philosopher John Morreall believes that the first human laughter may have begun as a g颅esture of shared relief at the passing of danger.”Laughter occurs when people are comfortable with one another, when they feel open and free.And the more laughter [there is], the more bonding [occurs] within the group,” says cultural anthropologist Mahadev Apte.If you’ve often thought that everyone in the office laughs when the boss laughs, you’re very perceptive.In such cases, Morreall says, controlling the laughter of a group becomes a way of exercising power by controlling the emotional climate of the group.
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,Despite the nominal sales success of Lumia handsets, Nokia Devices and Services still slogged through $118 million in operating losses upon $4 billion in Q3 2013 net sales.I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions.I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha).Nokia Oro with unique Symbian Anna OSRunning on unique Symbian Anna operating system, Nokia Oro mobile phone has got various brilliant features in it.Nokia phones are cheap, mid range and expensive and the features also vary according to different users and their different requirements.Nokia Oro is the latest mobile phone introduced by this mobile phone brand.
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,Here is a comparison to prior years non-seasonally adjusted initial claims with the approximate gain over the previous week: 2005 693,776 (+153K)2006 555,114 (+80K)2007 506,709 (+0K)2008 547,943 (+25K)2009 956,791 (+225K)2010 815,593 (+170K)2011 770,413 (+192K) It is likely that the seasonal adjustment factors are a little off this week, and is one more reason to follow the four week moving average with smooths out the inconsistencies in the data.The unadjusted increase for the first week of the year in 2011 is similar to the two preceeding years (2009 and 2010).All three are obviously much larger than the preceeding three years (2006,2007 and 2008).
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,This 5.1% rise represented the market positioning for the pending massive gold purchase.However, on the last trading day before the referendum on 28 November 2014, speculators left the market and GLD closed at 112.11.However, on Monday itself, with the defeat of the referendum, we saw GLD price shooting up instead as seen in the chart below.So what is the cause of it?(click to enlarge)Source: BarchartThis is due to the surprise deflationary reading of the first major economic report of December.This is the survey conducted by the Institute of Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index This PMI has a price component which reported 44.5 in November 2014 over a reading of 53.5 for October 2014.
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,As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of COCKRELL GROUP Research.The last time I wrote about AUD/USD, we stressed that many of the traditional cross asset links had blown up.Not only has the relationship weakened in the medium run, but a short run focus suggests that the link remains very poor.The link between AUD/USD and the swap curve spread may in fact have disappeared.(click to enlarge)A relationship that has not disappeared and shows no apparent mispricing for the AUD/USD is the real rates spread.Real rates combine long nominal rates and (market based) inflation expectations.
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,Management stated that they have approved for a chain wide test with Rite-aid for DermaWand in a 4Q 2014 test at all of Rite Aid’s 4600 stores.King and Mr.Ransom will be attending the National Association Of Chain Drug Store Companies in Boston, where ICTV will showcase DermaWand and Coral actives.Many major retailers will attend this conference such as Walgreens, Ulta, and Cosco to name a few.We are sticking to our original thesis for 2015, and have expanded 2016 to $100M in revenue.For example, in Mexico the company currently nets $10 per DermaWand sold through its distribution partner.The push to retail for ICTV is an enormous opportunity as the company has never been in retail and can unlock a huge growth opportunity.
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,The second part of the question is even more important, and surrounds something called a Cost Sharing Agreement, which Apple has signed along with its Irish subsidiary, ASI.Under that agreement, ASI pays 60% of Apple R costs, and in return gets to keep 60% of the income from Apple intellectual property.This agreement, Apple executives repeatedly said, was signed arm length, with the 60/40 ratio representing the respective proportions of Apple sales split: Europe and Asia account for 60% of Apple sales, with the Americas accounting for 40%.But the fact is, as Levin hammered home at the end of the hearing, that Apple intellectual property is its crown jewel; that the amount it spends on R is in no way reliant on the fact that it getting some of that money from Ireland; and that in no conceivable universe would Apple ever sell off 60% of the rights to its intellectual property in return for a promise to pay 60% of present and future R costs.
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,VOC’s ROI is 7.6%, which is 3rd-best among all trusts.However, those considering an investment should note that VOC’s royalties will expire in Dec.2031 and yield no terminal value.The higher trailing yield (13.1%) and terminating royalty could cause VOC to have greater fluctuation in market price than other trusts.PER still has a substantial number of wells that will be added, but the distribution is likely to stay flat and then decline precipitously.SDR still has additional wells to be completed, but the performance of the existing wells has been abysmal (see my SDR article).Like VOC, MVO offers $0 terminal value and a trailing yield around 13%.
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,A good business with consistent sales growth, a growing market, healthy profit margins, balance sheet, strong free cash flow yields relative to industry peers, and competent management (often including founding members) delivering year-on-year ROE growth, can get pulled down with the rest of the market due to macro fundamentals – the rest of the market undergoing a necessary pullback/correction.This process extracts a shortlist of companies which I can then focus on and research further.Rather, the stock screener functions as a practical filter, narrowing down a database of thousands of stocks into a list of companies that meet a specific set of screening rules.
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,We have had the courage to make all the right moves, and we have delivered.There are ‘fun for you’ products like Pepsi, Lays etc; ‘better for you’ products like Diet Pepsi and ‘good for you’ products like Quaker Oats.”For a company like PepsiCo to sustain its growth, we don’t swing the pendulum one way or the other.One such company is Starbucks, which has been going higher on the back of a strong quarter and low coffee prices.Cramer thinks in the near future the stock will cross $100 mark.”From the very beginning we started out not as a franchise system, but as a company-owned system.We recognized early on that if we were going to be a company-owned system that the cultural values and guiding principles, mainly our people, are going to be the equity of the brand,” said Schultz.
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,Apple for the past several years has been essentially stuck in a bit of rut when it comes to stock performance.The stock which unit recently (post Q2 earnings) had been essentially range bound between the $500 – $540 level.Apple’s problems seemed to stem from its own success and extremely high margins and street expectations.Every time the firm met or slightly exceeded expectations the street was always hoping for more, resulting in a sell-off.What Apple CEO Tim Cook has done right is recognizing that his company is no longer a high flying growth company, but instead has matured into a slow moving value company.
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,Discounting the common unit distribution profile using a 10% rate, produces fair value at $12.80 per unit.At a 15% rate, fair value is $10.50.Part of the reason could be that the Permian basin is more oily and seems better understood relative to the Mississippian.In addition, PER has more wells, more concentrated acreage (one county vs.nine for SDR), and a lower drill cost per well.The latter may be an important factor in light of SD’s recent credit concerns.An additional factor, as highlighted in Chart 2, is the asymmetric return profiles of both PER and SDR.According to our model, PER has positive convexity with respect to energy prices.
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