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,Nothing in this newsletter is to be considered investment advice, a formal recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any security.Investor in the Family LLC makes no explicit or implicit guarantee with respect to performance or the outcome of any investment or projections made.There is no guarantee that the goals of the strategies discussed by Investor in the Family LLC will be met.Investor in the Family LLC may receive payment for promoting some products found in this article.Even so, Investor in the Family LLC aims to promote products that it has tested and believes will add value to readers.
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,China Exports Plenty of REEsChina exports plenty of HREEs and finished products.Not only that, but a recent WTO ruling has led many to believe that the Chinese no longer have export quotas on REEs.According to a January 5th Bloomberg piece:Rare earths were dropped from a list of products subject to export quotas, effective from this year, according to a Ministry of Commerce statement dated Dec.31.Exporters now need only provide sales contracts to win export licenses.Research conducted by Elisa Alonzo et al.(2012) predicts that increases in dysprosium usage will far exceed that of other REEs.They provide the following graphic, with the right-side zooming in on the upper part of the left side.(click to enlarge)Over the next 20 years, dysprosium demand is expected to grow at ~4 times the rate of the broader REE market.
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,Last, I notice that you say “liquidity preference” where I spoke of the demand for money.Notice that M2 grows faster than M1, M2 keeps pace with the value of all assets, while M1 lags it.This does not mean the total demand for money, in real terms, hasn’t increased since 1960.It has – that is why the (larger) money supply exchanges for more than twice as much in real value as it did then.But narrow money specifically is used more efficiently, or a greater “tower” of broader money substitutes, total credit, and total asset values, rests on each unit of narrow money, than in 1960.In that sense, the relative demand for M1 vs savings forms or broader credit or non-nominal claims, can be said to have fallen.
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,It highlighted how, at the prevailing market rates, only $0.41 was being passed on to the producer, and that the blenders were keeping up to $0.59.Since then the markets have adjusted, and a very well written piece recently published on Seeking Alpha highlighted that the blender’s margin was now down to between $0.50 and $0.35, meaning that $0.65 to $0.50 is now being passed on the producer.Yes the margins are great for the blender, but they are getting better for the producer, and they are still high by historic standards.To quote an industry veteran: “at 35c/gal to 50c/gal, this is one of the best blender margin environments in a long time.
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,Our database includes 100,000+ market research reports from over 95 leading global publishers in-depth market research studies of over 5000 micro markets.Synopsis The report provides in depth market analysis, information and insights into the Venezuelan reinsurance market, including: – The Venezuelan reinsurance market’s growth prospects by reinsurance categories – The Venezuelan reinsurance market’s growth prospects by reinsurance ceded from direct insurance segments – The competitive landscape in the Venezuelan reinsurance market .Neurointerventional radiology or endovascular neurosurgery refers to special minimally invasive procedures to diagnose and treat vascular disorders of the brain and spine.
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,Google profits off of most internet users through ad display as well as auxiliary product offerings.In 2013, it was estimated that 70% of the world still does not have access to the Internet (IWS 1).Even at Google’s size, there is huge growth potential in the growing number of internet users across the globe.Google’s Project Loon could drastically cut that number to shreds, and it wouldn’t be difficult to foresee the population with internet access double.Coincidence? I think not.I simply could not see a better place to store and launch high altitude balloons than from an refurbished Blimp Hangar.
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,Moody’s rates the issue Ba3 and S rates it at BB.UDF is currently paying over 8% and has a different business model than most mortgage REITs.Along with its competitor Verizon this company continues to expand its reach and increase the number of customers.I am convinced that one of the last things anyone will give up is their cell phone.If I am still alive and well on July 25, 2015, I will revisit this article to compare how each investment has fared.Perhaps you, as a reader would like to mention in your comments which of the above 5 investments will tender the best return in one year.Of course, I am anticipating that my high-risk, high-dividend portfolio will fare best.
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,Biofuels companies generate RINs with each gallon of fuel they produce, and that RIN is either attached to the gallon of fuel, or separated and sold on the open market.They provide the supply.Bio-mass based diesel is biodiesel and it gets what is called a D4 RIN (see above linked report).They also set a quota of 2.75 billion gallons for advanced biofuels which get what is called a D5 RIN.Ethanol is considered a “renewable fuel” and gets what is called a D6 RIN.I will not be covering ethanol in this article.That results in an excess supply of RINs for 2013.On the bright side, it could have been 6% higher to reach the maximum of a 20% carryover, and RIN prices have been relatively strong year to date.
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,Try keep in touch by visiting or calling.On my last note, a reader commented:Stop loss usage is not recommended in biotech stocks!! Those that use it IMHO are wrong!Other people expressed consternation about market manipulation:Why isn’t there one good article exposing MM manipulation of the stock?As we saw today in Vivus (NASDAQ:VVUS) and a few weeks ago in Arena (NASDAQ:ARNA), sometimes market participants will drive down the prices of some of the biotech stock as much as 50% in what would seem to be a stop hunt (basically triggering stop loss orders).In the second, I discussed how I approach the large events, and following the advised strategy would allow you to completely ignore the machinations.
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,Unfortunately, grain prices continue to rise, as do packaging and other production costs.Consequently, SABMiller is going to be hard-pressed to show much internal margin improvement and may well have to absorb lower margin in exchange for future growth prospects.More M With internal margin improvement perhaps limited, SABMiller continues to be active and aggressive on the M front.The company is shelling out about $10 billion for Fosters (long rumored to be on the block) and should be able to strip a lot of costs out of this business.But this may well not be the end by any means.SABMiller could buy out Castel or Anadolu Efes (already partners) or have a go at Heineken or Carlsberg.
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,The senator believed that the whole of American policy should be revised and that the isolation of Havana had not been able to consolidate the objectives of Washington, in full, the overthrow of the Castro.Some even believe that the embargo only strengthens the power Castro, who took refuge behind the isolation to justify the problems of everyday life of the Cuban population.Administration drops to a few days of the Summit of the Americas must meet in Trinidad over the weekend all the Heads of State of the American continent.”The new American administration should use this window of opportunity to mark a change from the Bush administration, analysis Kourliandski Jean-Jacques, a researcher at the Institute of International and Strategic Research.
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,However, subsidies were used to increase the stockpiles as more copper was needed: the copper industry, as a case in point, companies were given quotas and rewarded with a premium of 17 cents per pound for all output in excess of their quotas.In free markets, price tends to reflect the marginal cost of production, which means that all units of output tend to sell for the relatively high cost of the marginal outputs.In 1943, about 21% of the copper supply was subsidized in this fashion, costing he government almost $25 million.(Source) In 1975, with the Energy Policy and Conservation Act, President Jimmy Carter set up the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (offshoot of the Petroleum Reserve Corporation) and by July of 1977, oil was being pumped into coastal salt reservoirs in Louisiana and Texas on the Gulf of Mexico.
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,Some highlights: “As President Obama urges Congress to enact a package of tax cuts and new government spending intended to revive growth and create jobs, one crucial corner of the American economy — manufacturing — has largely fallen off Washington’s radar screen.” “Manufacturing is not simply a market activity, especially not in the 21st century: manufacturers rely increasingly on governments, here and abroad, to prosper and expand.” “‘The United States today is alone among industrial powers in not having a strategy or even a procedure for thinking through what must be done when it comes to manufacturing,’ says Thomas A.
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,Apple will compare the songs on their servers to the ones in your music collection and if they have the song already, they will make their non-DRM 256 kbps version available to you on the cloud immediately.That huge! It has taken me days to transfer my collection to Amazon.I gave up trying to transfer the whole thing over with Google because the upload speed was so doggone slow.With Apple iTunes Match, like lightning, almost my entire collection will be available instantaneously and at 256 kbps.Would I pay $25 for Apple to do this for me? In a heartbeat.And I bet you there are hundreds of thousands of people out there just like me.
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,”We don’t want to pile on the troubles of RIM – this predates RIM’s troubles – but from our point of view, this is a very serious situation,” Mr.MacLeod said.Although the Popcorn Hour C-200 plays DVD from attached DVD ROM, it would be nice to have a DVD ISO image backup on NAS, and play the digital copy ISO file with the NMT C-200 or Popcorn A-200.A digital copy protects your original DVD from scratching and frequently use.An ISO image lets you have main movie, menus and everything in one file so you will no longer bother to navigate VIDEO_TS directory for the first chapter to start with.Besides, the DVD ISO image can be easily burned onto a blank disc when you feel like adding a backup copy to DVD collections.
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,As a result, the Indonesian bauxite ban may actually have a net benefit for CRR by hurting its competitors, specifically those in China producing cheaper and generally lower-quality ceramics.China is the largest importer of bauxite from Indonesia, and so supply shortages from the latter would have an augmented impact on competitors there.As mentioned previously, the Indonesian Constitutional Court recently upheld the ban, so it will likely be in effect for much of 2015.I believe, however, that the ban should not extend too far beyond 2015.A curtailment of raw material exports significantly depresses Indonesia’s trade balance, which could prove detrimental in a global slowdown.
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,We heard again from Janet Yellen that they are going to be patient with the interest rate rising.They are going to use metrics that do or do not exist, and will prop them up as we go along to keep the environment of risk going.Because all this is doing is fostering a wealth transfer.The financial system where people would earn a reasonable rate of return on their cash even in a savings account does not even exist anymore.I refer to this whole system as an economic black hole.When this whole thing reverses – and it has to – no environment like this can go in one direction in perpetuity.These distortions are so massive and I would say astronomical large, that when the moment comes for this oversized market to correct, it is going to be very rapid.
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,The author of Kamasutra Vatsayana and the author of Sakunthala Kalidas were of this period’s great poets.Astrology, astronomy, and arithmetic were patronized during the period of Guptas.Great South Indian Dynasties: Cheras, Cholas, Pandyas are the great dynasties of the same period in South India.Tamil literature was its boom in their period in South India.Many art forms were also developed by these kings.The another great South Indian ruling dynasty was Pallavas.They form their regime by defeating Cholas and established their kingdom in Kancheepuram.Pallavas left behind the sculptures that will live forever in the South India like tall gopurams, rock caves, monolith statues all over Tamilnadu.
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,ESVA could be a pre-engineered Virtual Appliance that runs on virtual machines.I used to be thus happy that current version 2060 isn’t available.Free in cost,2.robust system,3.filtering accuracy4.domain and sender black-listing5.domain and sender white-listing6.quarantine and unharness report (per user basis or per domain)7.Although, Bayesian filtering technique require time to designed on SPAM or HAM database.No SMTP Authentication or LDAP integration2.Although bottom-line earnings have been missing for the company, it’s well documented that CEO Jeff Bezos consistently chooses growth over earnings.
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,private net worth, a standard, run-of-the mill bear market decline in stocks on the order of 30% would likely be associated with total paper losses in the private sector on the order of $10 trillion.As Groucho Marx put it, never join a club that would have me as a member.With the percentage of bearish investment advisors recently plunging to just 14%, investment bears are certainly a rather exclusive group, mostly representing advisors who are considered odd is how little affinity I feel with members of that group.Though I seem to be one of the better-identified members, those who actually understand our narrative in recent years should recognize that I stumbled into this clubhouse quite unintentionally.
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,However I tend to hold more silver and gold in my accounts, and am comfortable with more risk than is my wife.So in her account I tend to go more safe.I have Polaris, she has P She also provides some input and wants or rejects things.I have tobacco in my account, she has Hershey.I have Home Depot, she has UPS.But I do like having a variety in each account so that each account is more stable and has that opportunity to rebalance between what’s up and what’s down.So I have CEF, GDXJ, T and WAG, she has CVX, GDX, JNJ and TTM.I’m curious how chowder (and other experienced people will answer, but I’ll give it a go, too.
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,Table 8 provides a sensitivity analysis of my valuation.If TD’s US retail banking segment grow faster than expected, then the PB multiple may expand.The solid performance of its Canadian retail banking business and high growth potential in its US retail banking business are two key factors that will drive future dividend growth.TD is best positioned among the Canadian banks to take advantage of a more robust US economy.I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions.I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha).I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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,After reaching a record high level of $20.04 on July 1, it started to have a mixed display of ups and downs.On July 21, the stock price was at $18.76 and then declined to $15.09.High valuations and its past trends show that further sharp decline can be expected in the future in a scenario of growing global uncertainty and increased competition in Pandora’s markets.Pandora has reached about 100 million users in the music subscription industry.With the solid grip of Spotify in this industry, and online storage solutions from of Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple and Google, Pandora can face tough pressure in the market.
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,Furthermore, there are problems with BHP Billiton Olympic Dam mine which sits on the 4th largest copper deposit in the world.According to the news, an accident in early October, shut the mine main haulage system, cutting production by 75%.BHP Billiton expects the mine to be back in full operation by Q3 FY10.The fact that the worlds 4th largest copper deposit is working at 25% speed adds support to the idea of a potential global copper supply deficit.Macquire predicts it will take up to two years to climb out of the looming shortfall.Accordingly, it has raised its price forecast for copper in 2010/11, 2-3%, up to $3.25 to $3.40/pound.
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,24).Boulder says that included in 2011 are “one-time items of $4.1 million net expenses, including $2.6 million costs related to the Glutino acquisition, a $1.1 million legal settlement, a $0.8 million inventory adjustment related to the purchase of Glutino and a one-time benefit in the change in stock-based compensation expense of $0.4 million.”Below we have also presented the closing balance sheet of Glutino.Glutino had minimal Prepaid Assets, but this account should have been added to Boulder’s.We note that the increase in Boulder’s Accounts Payable and Accrued Expense Account approximates the addition of Glutino.
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,We were only here for a Pre-Wedding Photoshoot having arrived from a black sand beach nearby.What we expected was a remote and quiet pilgrimage temple.What we found was tourist hell.Extortionate entrance fees, an entire village built on the lead to the shore for the purpose of selling crap.Hundreds of outlets, souvenir shops, restaurants.Mass produced tourist junk.Billabong, Ralph Lauren outlets.A good 5 minute walk necessary to escape it all.You then arrive at Tanah Lot Temple to swarms of tourists and travellers.Before starting this I should point out that I am not a PETA freak.He created two pairs of such wings and gave one to his son Icarus.
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,The reinsurer is paid a reinsurance premium and the insurer issues insurance policies to its own policyholders.The main reason for reinsurance is to transfer risk from the insurer to the reinsurer.Munch Re has more than 4000 corporate clients (insurance companies) in approximately 160 countries.It assumes part of the risk covered by these insurance companies, as well as providing comprehensive advice on insurance business.Munich Re primary insurance operations are mainly concentrated in the ERGO Insurance Group.ERGO writes all types of life and health insurance and most types of property and casualty insurance.
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,Of course there’s additional cost to pay for such service, so please click this link for details.Once, Jepara is save place to visit in Central Java, no need to worry on flooding, tsunami, earthquake or other nature disasters happen in this town.So feel free to visit this cluster industry of furniture products in Indonesia at anytime.For the convenience of Seeking Alpha readers, we have divided this report into three parts: Our Macro Perspective on the REE SectorMolycorp: Understanding the MisunderstoodValuation: Putting it All Together Project Phoenix Timeline The key timeline factors on Project Phoenix are the following: 1) Molycorp will initiate a six month sequential start up process on April 1st, 2012 that will result in Phase I production rates being achieved by October 1st, 2012.
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,Whether it is simply reserved parking spaces, blue collar, white collar, temporary, part-time, those with cubicles, those with desks etc.Ask yourself, when the ship sinks, who gets in the lifeboats first? Who gets severance pay, bonus, stock options or nice hotels.Clear the lines between the classes and make everyone feel they are rowing in the same direction for the same purpose.The Truth Changes- The Titanic was unsinkable.So confident were they, that they only had enough life boats for half the passengers.The thinking that made us successful yesterday is the very same thinking that will cause us to fail tomorrow.
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,The company provides supplemental insurance in the United States and Japan.Some of Aflac’s products include accident/disability plans, cancer expense plans, short-term disability plans, sickness and hospital indemnity plans, and hospital intensive care plans.When insurance claims kick in, we will have to monitor the situation much more closely.The impact of the earthquake and tsunami doesn limit itself to Aflac.Investors are advised to watch the following insurance companies which have exposure to Japan:MetLife (NYSE:MET), the insurance giant, might be indirectly hit by the disaster since its newly-purchased Alico was a subsidiary of AIG (NYSE:AIG) last year.
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,Like chowder said, you need to make monthly contributions.Figure out how much you need in X amount of years and then formulate a monthly contribution plan.If it’s not within your budget, try to figure out a way to bring in some additional income (yard sale or something like that).You just need to be creative.Age is never an excuse.Look at Colonel Sanders.Ttlead, you can do it.You have time.You just need to come up with a plan that works for you.I know I am sounding like Tony Robbins but in all honesty if I was in your shoes I would want that hope.On a trailing twelve month basis, Reuters estimates the industry average gross margin was 32.6% which is significantly lower than 42.9% for Infinera.
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,This has been the primary reason that Intel has managed to keep its overall revenues from falling, despite a double digit decline in the PC market.One of the risks for Intel is that ARM-based chips start making inroads into the server market.Advanced Micro Devices, Applied Micro (NASDAQ:AMCC), Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) and Calxeda have been leading the charge in introducing 64 bit ARM cores for the server market.Competitors have been touting the benefits of energy efficient and low-cost ARM processors for the server market, especially for application like web services which don’t require heavy duty processing.
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,DuPont Fabros Technology (NYSE:DFT) announced earnings today that were disappointing.Since that restructuring, we have received all payments due from this customer through the end of 2014.This customer informed us in January 2015 that they would be halting base rent payments and would pay only operating expenses, direct electric charges and management fees until the company is sold or new funding sources are obtained.This lease was scheduled to expire in 2015 and will now expire in 2021.This arrangement also provided for an extension of the lease expiration dates by a weighted average of 8.5 years so that all of the leases now expire in 2024.
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,Taking share buybacks and dilution from convertible bonds into consideration, the expected free cash flow per share for 2014 was $0.19, an important metric in the valuation of Sirius XM.It is also important to consider how that figure will grow.The most obvious methods are increasing revenue, reducing costs and reducing share count.Significant cost reductions seem unlikely for several reasons.The content costs are likely to increase as the music royalty expense will be increasing each of the next several years and because the company has added Hispanic targeted content.In addition, sales and marketing and customer service and billing expenses are likely to rise to support a growing customer base.
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,An increase in the deferred production predicted for the coming years, despite the current high production, indicates strong future orders already in place (thanks to Boeing’s Dreamliner, 737 MAX and 777X).(click to enlarge)The majority of company’s returns came from its commercial segment.Q3 2013 marked its highest-ever backlog, with the company achieving $415 billion worth of orders received from its customers still waiting to be filled.The bulk of this work resides in Boeing’s commercial airplanes business, where customers have placed orders for nearly 4,800 airplanes, amounting to $345 billion in value, or 83 percent of the total backlog.
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,A request to AYR investor relations for updated numbers had not been responded to by the time of this writing.While the past is not necessarily an indicator of the future, the developing pattern should give long investors reason to be concerned (and buy Puts ahead of the earnings release.)(click to enlarge)Source: Three Point Aviation Services LLCRun-Down of the NumbersShare Price as of 28 Oct 2014$18.99Annual Dividends (Trailing 12-Months)$0.695 (3.66%)Price to Earnings (Trailing 12-Months)47.47 ($18.99 / $0.40)Price to Earnings (Forward 12-Months)10.10 ($18.99 / $1.88)Price to Book Ratio as of 28 Oct 20140.
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,The town of Zaradna, already sacked by the warring forces, was utterly obliterated, as was the small fort at Shih.The Tangshan Earthquake: 1976The Tangshan Earthquake also known as the Great Tangshan Earthquake, was a natural disaster that occurred on July 28, 1976.It is believed to be the largest earthquake of the 20th century by death toll.The epicenter of the earthquake was near Tangshan in Hebei, People’s Republic of China, an industrial city with approximately one million inhabitants.The number of deaths initially reported by the Chinese government was 655,000, but this number has since been stated to be around 240,000 to 255,000.
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,You probably do not have an alternative to remaining seated for hours on end if you’ve got an office job.You can possibly relieve the pressure somewhat by getting up each hour or so, just for a minute, and stretching or walking to get your blood flowing.Most of the water and sewer systems in the world were built 60 years ago.And Pentair (NYSE:PNR) is just one of the companies that wants to be there when it happens.Today the motto is “We are all downstream.”Data from Best Stocks Now AppThat’s all good.But being good is not good enough for the market.Let ‘s take a look at this global leader in supersized plumbing fixtures:Pentair, LTD.
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,Eritrea.Estland.Äthiopien.Falkland-Inseln und Abhängigkeiten.Färöer Inseln.Fidschi.Finnland.Frankreich.Französisch-Guayana.Französisch-Polynesien.But if the company sold 20 percent of itself in the last round and is now about to sell another 3-4%, perhaps its trying to conserve shares for future investors and also its eventual IPO.Next let look at the second major headline that has Xiaomi in discussions to buy stakes in China two largest online video sites, Youku Tudou (NYSE:YOKU) and Baidu-owned (NASDAQ:BIDU) iQiyi.(English article; Chinese article) The reports are quite detailed and one even comes from a leading Chinese financial newspaper, which leads me to believe the talks are really happening.
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,Moody’s rates the issue Ba3 and S rates it at BB.UDF is currently paying over 8% and has a different business model than most mortgage REITs.Along with its competitor Verizon this company continues to expand its reach and increase the number of customers.I am convinced that one of the last things anyone will give up is their cell phone.If I am still alive and well on July 25, 2015, I will revisit this article to compare how each investment has fared.Perhaps you, as a reader would like to mention in your comments which of the above 5 investments will tender the best return in one year.Of course, I am anticipating that my high-risk, high-dividend portfolio will fare best.
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,Biofuels companies generate RINs with each gallon of fuel they produce, and that RIN is either attached to the gallon of fuel, or separated and sold on the open market.They provide the supply.Bio-mass based diesel is biodiesel and it gets what is called a D4 RIN (see above linked report).They also set a quota of 2.75 billion gallons for advanced biofuels which get what is called a D5 RIN.Ethanol is considered a “renewable fuel” and gets what is called a D6 RIN.I will not be covering ethanol in this article.That results in an excess supply of RINs for 2013.On the bright side, it could have been 6% higher to reach the maximum of a 20% carryover, and RIN prices have been relatively strong year to date.
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,Try keep in touch by visiting or calling.On my last note, a reader commented:Stop loss usage is not recommended in biotech stocks!! Those that use it IMHO are wrong!Other people expressed consternation about market manipulation:Why isn’t there one good article exposing MM manipulation of the stock?As we saw today in Vivus (NASDAQ:VVUS) and a few weeks ago in Arena (NASDAQ:ARNA), sometimes market participants will drive down the prices of some of the biotech stock as much as 50% in what would seem to be a stop hunt (basically triggering stop loss orders).In the second, I discussed how I approach the large events, and following the advised strategy would allow you to completely ignore the machinations.
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,The author of Kamasutra Vatsayana and the author of Sakunthala Kalidas were of this period’s great poets.Astrology, astronomy, and arithmetic were patronized during the period of Guptas.Great South Indian Dynasties: Cheras, Cholas, Pandyas are the great dynasties of the same period in South India.Tamil literature was its boom in their period in South India.Many art forms were also developed by these kings.The another great South Indian ruling dynasty was Pallavas.They form their regime by defeating Cholas and established their kingdom in Kancheepuram.Pallavas left behind the sculptures that will live forever in the South India like tall gopurams, rock caves, monolith statues all over Tamilnadu.
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,The whole culture is geared to this kind of pathology.The result is that the average individual does not experience the separateness and isolation the fully schizophrenic person feels.He feels at ease among those who suffer from the same deformation; in fact, it is the fully sane person who feels isolated in the insane society – and he may suffer so much from the incapacity to communicate that it is he who may become psychotic.” – Eric Fromm (The Anatomy of Human Destructiveness)(Fromm’s statement above perhaps explains why the majority do not see the obvious social realities I described.)This parable illustrates the truth that Fromm described very well:”The parable of the poisoned well There was once a wise king who ruled over a vast city.
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,ESVA could be a pre-engineered Virtual Appliance that runs on virtual machines.I used to be thus happy that current version 2060 isn’t available.Free in cost,2.robust system,3.filtering accuracy4.domain and sender black-listing5.domain and sender white-listing6.quarantine and unharness report (per user basis or per domain)7.Although, Bayesian filtering technique require time to designed on SPAM or HAM database.No SMTP Authentication or LDAP integration2.Although bottom-line earnings have been missing for the company, it’s well documented that CEO Jeff Bezos consistently chooses growth over earnings.
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,The future direction of gold mining shares may offer clues as to the overall state of the yellow metal.One interesting fact is that over the past two weeks, open interest in COMEX gold futures has fallen by 8.8% – as the price moved lower, weak longs bailed out.Silver and platinum are telling us gold should go lower.In these volatile markets, perceptions can turn on a dime.The only conclusion I can come to is that all of these divergences are telling us that bipolar trading and volatility is bound to continue in gold as well as other precious metals markets.Therefore, these are markets for trading, not investing.
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,private net worth, a standard, run-of-the mill bear market decline in stocks on the order of 30% would likely be associated with total paper losses in the private sector on the order of $10 trillion.As Groucho Marx put it, never join a club that would have me as a member.With the percentage of bearish investment advisors recently plunging to just 14%, investment bears are certainly a rather exclusive group, mostly representing advisors who are considered odd is how little affinity I feel with members of that group.Though I seem to be one of the better-identified members, those who actually understand our narrative in recent years should recognize that I stumbled into this clubhouse quite unintentionally.
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,Ultra-red today consist of one of the founders, Dont Rhine, along with Elizabeth Blaney, Pablo Garcia, and Leonardo Vilchis.The present configuration arose in 2000, soon after the release of Structural Adjustments, a CD of manipulated found sound released on acclaimed electronica label Mille Plateaux that documents the struggles to save from demolition the Pico Aliso and Aliso Village public housing projects in East LA, where Blaney and Vilchis work as community organizers.Trying to figure out exactly who’s in Ultra-red from their text-heavy CD booklets or extensive website is an unilluminating task, which seems to be the point.
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,We’re going to do that by building the best experience across all devices.Of course, a lot of people also love iPhones – I love mine, and I would like to be able to deliver Facebook Home there as well.I continue to be very bullish regarding Apple’s prospects and I believe it has the most upside out of the technology stocks mentioned in this article.Apple dipped 4.4% last week and if any of that decline was due to concerns regarding Facebook Home, I smell a buying opportunity.Apple’s forward P/E sits at a minuscule 8.5x despite the huge cash stockpile, innovative prospective products, and a 2.5% dividend.
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,However I tend to hold more silver and gold in my accounts, and am comfortable with more risk than is my wife.So in her account I tend to go more safe.I have Polaris, she has P She also provides some input and wants or rejects things.I have tobacco in my account, she has Hershey.I have Home Depot, she has UPS.But I do like having a variety in each account so that each account is more stable and has that opportunity to rebalance between what’s up and what’s down.So I have CEF, GDXJ, T and WAG, she has CVX, GDX, JNJ and TTM.I’m curious how chowder (and other experienced people will answer, but I’ll give it a go, too.
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,Table 8 provides a sensitivity analysis of my valuation.If TD’s US retail banking segment grow faster than expected, then the PB multiple may expand.The solid performance of its Canadian retail banking business and high growth potential in its US retail banking business are two key factors that will drive future dividend growth.TD is best positioned among the Canadian banks to take advantage of a more robust US economy.I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions.I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha).I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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,A request to AYR investor relations for updated numbers had not been responded to by the time of this writing.While the past is not necessarily an indicator of the future, the developing pattern should give long investors reason to be concerned (and buy Puts ahead of the earnings release.)(click to enlarge)Source: Three Point Aviation Services LLCRun-Down of the NumbersShare Price as of 28 Oct 2014$18.99Annual Dividends (Trailing 12-Months)$0.695 (3.66%)Price to Earnings (Trailing 12-Months)47.47 ($18.99 / $0.40)Price to Earnings (Forward 12-Months)10.10 ($18.99 / $1.88)Price to Book Ratio as of 28 Oct 20140.
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